The UAE's eastern and northern regions, including parts of Dubai, Fujairah, and Ras Al Khaimah, are set to experience heavy rainfall this week as winter officially kicks off. The National Center of Meteorology (NCM) has forecast varying intensities of rain starting December 23, peaking on Christmas Day and continuing through the weekend.
Weather System at Play
Dr. Ahmed Habib, a climate expert at the NCM, explained that the UAE is currently under the influence of a low-pressure system moving in from the Arabian Sea. “At the surface level, significant water vapour from the Arabian Sea and Oman Sea is flowing into the region, while an upper-level low-pressure system with a cold air mass is creating the ideal conditions for convective cloud formation,” he noted.
This combination will result in scattered clouds and rainfall, with heavier showers expected in mountainous areas. Key regions likely to be affected include Fujairah, Ras Al Khaimah, northern Abu Dhabi, and parts of Dubai, especially on December 25 and 26.
Temperature Fluctuations
As winter sets in, the UAE will experience noticeable variations in temperatures. Daytime highs are expected to range from 22°C to 27°C, while nighttime lows in coastal areas will average 12°C, dropping further to 6°C in internal regions like Al Ain.
Dr. Habib noted that areas such as Jebel Jais in Ras Al Khaimah and Rakhna in Al Ain are typically the coldest in the UAE, with their unique topography contributing to significant temperature drops.
Winter Season Outlook
Winter officially began on December 21 and will last until mid-March. January is expected to be the coldest month, while February typically brings the highest rainfall. Cool air masses from Siberia and northern Europe are likely to drive further temperature drops across the region.
For residents and visitors, the cooler temperatures and rainfall offer a refreshing change, making this season a perfect time to explore the UAE’s natural beauty. However, caution is advised in rain-affected areas, particularly in the mountainous regions prone to heavier rainfall.